KalshiOpen

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon87%

No13%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:53 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread4%

ResolvesJun 30, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Jean-Luc Mélenchon is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Bruno Retailleau appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	54% No	$218	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	67% Nicolas Dupont-Aignan	$0	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Olivier Faure appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Raphaël Glucksmann appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	59% No	$0	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Nathalie Arthaud appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	77% Nathalie Arthaud	$0	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Marine Tondelier appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	73% No	$0	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Karim Bouamrane appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Marine Le Pen appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	92% Marine Le Pen	$0	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Gérald Darmanin appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	50% No	$0	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Jordan Bardella appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Jérôme Guedj appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	96% No	$0	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Fabien Roussel appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	79% Fabien Roussel	$0	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will François Hollande appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	60% No	$0	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will François Ruffin appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	71% No	$0	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Gabriel Attal appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	69% No	$0	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Dominique de Villepin appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	63% No	$0	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Éric Zemmour appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	83% Éric Zemmour	$0	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will François Asselineau appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	90% No	$0	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Édouard Philippe appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	90% Édouard Philippe	$0	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Bernard Cazeneuve appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	90% No	$0	—	—	Open
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Clémentine Autain appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Kalshi	92% No	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 11:01 PM UTC