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120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?: Who will win the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress? Tom Cotton

No98%
Tom Cotton2%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread3%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Aug 11Aug 23Sep 4Sep 17Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Tom Cotton wins the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes. Each party’s Senate conference elects its own leader, and the leader of the party that holds Senate majority status serves as Senate Majority Leader. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

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As of Sep 29, 10:16 PM UTC