Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?

Yes64%
No37%

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24h volume$22.7K
7d volume$45.5K
30d volume$151K
Liquidity$17.6K
Spread1%
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    320 holders · 51 comments · read Sep 29, 05:28 PM UTC

  • LimitlessOpen →

    Anthropic IPO by __: November 30, 2026

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    0 holders · read Sep 29, 08:14 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Polymarket82% YesOpen
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Polymarket76% YesOpen
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders320
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments51

Best bid 37% · best ask 38%

Top holders

  • rewardbots100639319958801657045544531687338137611395882877600658411358946737266709907640
  • M2sx92kljs42100639319958801657045544531687338137611395882877600658411358946737266709907640
  • Pump93607174427076648497970085679890464224074212453553954883931612093962256690262
  • Trading4Fridge93607174427076648497970085679890464224074212453553954883931612093962256690262
  • iForgor93607174427076648497970085679890464224074212453553954883931612093962256690262

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Discussion on Predxy

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51 comments

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  • singkhamx · 3 days ago

    This year ?

  • m-trade · 7 days ago

    oktober

  • mkapepoela · 10 days ago

    no time in september

  • m8cur1y · 14 days ago

    Not in September

  • WillBeQuant · 15 days ago

    september 30 is and was free money road show in 1 day makes no sense for maybe the biggest ipo of all time october will be rough as well if there is no ipo by mid november it will not happen this year

  • 68thejjk68strong · 20 days ago

    will immediately

  • tiredhungry · 21 days ago

    his market will immediately resolve to "No

  • tiredhungry · 21 days ago

    enen

  • iForgor · 25 days ago

    thin books wow

  • ZarD · 25 days ago

    8 sept S-1 public. Gives you enough time for a late September listing, verify your sources. Check also Starlink as a more recent example - you had ±20 days between S-1 and pricing. It is highly dependent on (1) the work done before during the TTW stage; (2) market sentiment and volatility (esp. if FED hikes or not)

  • moonlore · 26 days ago

    Alot of people not stating alot of facts atm this adminstration has been very corrupt on top of that market crash expected next month so if they dont ipo before 15 sept the market will start to decline and it will make trump look really bad so his best option is to keep pumping the stock market as there are no other major ipo happening in the next 3 months this is his only option and on top of that the ai market has finally slowed down and if the situation becomes any worse in america civil war is very likley but hey guys and gals he did start an illegal war and he did put illegal tarrifs and hes been blocking the files at every move he can so make your choice

  • SIMOMEGA · 26 days ago

    its not only about winrate

  • mewmew1 · 27 days ago

    look how odds moved

  • polmar001 · 28 days ago

    your winrate is only 66.3%, hard to trust ya

  • mewmew1 · 30 days ago

    no point to hurry

  • anonymous · 30 days ago

    Is that a guess? Labor day is sept 7

  • mewmew1 · last month

    10-15 sept s-1 public, around 15-20 oct listing

  • cqk · last month

    Entirely possible. But you very well might lose too, and you've put a lot of money on the line ;)

  • mewmew1 · last month

    u gonna lose it

  • cqk · last month

    BUY EVEN MORE

As of Sep 29, 10:26 PM UTC