PolymarketOpen

Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?

Yes57%

No44%

Price checked at Oct 24, 01:57 PM UTC

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24h volume$6.2K

7d volume$7.5K

30d volume$7.5K

Liquidity$3.5K

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 26, 2026next month

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	79% Yes	$40K	—	—	Open
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Polymarket	63% Yes	$23.7K	—	—	Open
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Polymarket	99% No	$21.2K	—	—	Open
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Polymarket	74% Yes	$19.3K	—	—	Open
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Polymarket	80% No	$13.7K	—	—	Open
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	$6.8K	—	—	Open
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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Comments52

Discussion on Predxy

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52 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

WhaleWatch-78061 · 23 days ago
bipbipbop spent 1363,90 Dollars on December 31 outcome Yes. Profit so far 273,04 Dollars. That position is printing money right now
singkhamx · 27 days ago
This year ?
m-trade · last month
oktober
mkapepoela · last month
no time in september
m8cur1y · last month
Not in September
WillBeQuant · last month
september 30 is and was free money road show in 1 day makes no sense for maybe the biggest ipo of all time october will be rough as well if there is no ipo by mid november it will not happen this year
68thejjk68strong · last month
will immediately
tiredhungry · 2 months ago
his market will immediately resolve to "No
tiredhungry · 2 months ago
enen
iForgor · 2 months ago
thin books wow
ZarD · 2 months ago
8 sept S-1 public. Gives you enough time for a late September listing, verify your sources. Check also Starlink as a more recent example - you had ±20 days between S-1 and pricing. It is highly dependent on (1) the work done before during the TTW stage; (2) market sentiment and volatility (esp. if FED hikes or not)
moonlore · 2 months ago
Alot of people not stating alot of facts atm this adminstration has been very corrupt on top of that market crash expected next month so if they dont ipo before 15 sept the market will start to decline and it will make trump look really bad so his best option is to keep pumping the stock market as there are no other major ipo happening in the next 3 months this is his only option and on top of that the ai market has finally slowed down and if the situation becomes any worse in america civil war is very likley but hey guys and gals he did start an illegal war and he did put illegal tarrifs and hes been blocking the files at every move he can so make your choice
SIMOMEGA · 2 months ago
its not only about winrate
mewmew1 · 2 months ago
look how odds moved
polmar001 · 2 months ago
your winrate is only 66.3%, hard to trust ya
mewmew1 · 2 months ago
no point to hurry
anonymous · 2 months ago
Is that a guess? Labor day is sept 7
mewmew1 · 2 months ago
10-15 sept s-1 public, around 15-20 oct listing
cqk · 2 months ago
Entirely possible. But you very well might lose too, and you've put a lot of money on the line ;)
mewmew1 · 2 months ago
u gonna lose it

As of Oct 24, 02:33 PM UTC