Will Lighter reach $15 before 2027?

No96%
Yes4%

Price checked at

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$323.9
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Lighter LIT/USDC trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Both use Lighter’s LIT/USDC one-minute candle High/Low data through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Polymarket lists a nominal resolution time of January 1, 2027 05:00 UTC, while PredictFun lists none; this does not change the event being measured.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Lighter reach $15 before 2027?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Lighter LIT/USDC trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Lighter reach $15 before 2027?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Lighter LIT/USDC trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

    read Sep 29, 09:51 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027?Polymarket55% YesOpen
Will Lighter reach $20 before 2027?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?Polymarket59% NoOpen
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?Polymarket82% NoOpen
Will Lighter reach $12 before 2027?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?Polymarket66% YesOpen
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?Polymarket63% NoOpen
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?Polymarket65% YesOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
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As of Sep 29, 10:58 PM UTC