PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?

Yes67%

No34%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:07 PM UTC

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24h volume$5

7d volume$1.5K

30d volume$20.8K

Liquidity$1.1K

Spread10%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) between December 30, 2025, 14:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Lighter LIT/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. Both specify the same Lighter LIT/USDC 1-minute candle source and deadline window. Polymarket publishes settlement at 2027-01-01 05:00 UTC; PredictFun lists no settlement time, with no material difference to the question.

PredictFunOpen →
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) between December 30, 2025, 14:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Lighter LIT/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
read Sep 29, 03:41 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) between December 30, 2025, 14:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Lighter LIT/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
223 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 08:57 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027?	Polymarket	61% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Lighter reach $20 before 2027?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?	Polymarket	57% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Lighter reach $15 before 2027?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	Polymarket	82% No	$628.6	—	—	Open
Will Lighter reach $12 before 2027?	Polymarket	86% No	$277.3	—	—	Open
Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?	Polymarket	58% Yes	$254.2	—	—	Open
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	Polymarket	63% No	$83.3	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 days ago

Holders223

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 31% · best ask 38%

Top holders

CauchyBraids66642686032574991737318623991431618886793195196275378110086238715106263123494
mommydualipa104768517385547045420356049266868078260236339065212620626578008650862496736510
gothmommy69104768517385547045420356049266868078260236339065212620626578008650862496736510
VibeyQuant104768517385547045420356049266868078260236339065212620626578008650862496736510
keysersoze2266642686032574991737318623991431618886793195196275378110086238715106263123494

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Recent trades

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As of Sep 29, 09:16 PM UTC