PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Lighter reach $12 before 2027?

No88%

Yes12%

Price checked at Sep 30, 12:28 PM UTC

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24h volume$244.1

7d volume$582

30d volume$5.2K

Liquidity$361.1

Spread8%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Lighter LIT/USDC trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. No material resolution difference is published; PredictFun omits a separate resolvesAt timestamp, but its stated deadline matches Polymarket’s December 31, 2026 cutoff.

Polymarketthis market
Will Lighter reach $12 before 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Lighter LIT/USDC trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
40 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 30, 01:47 AM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Will Lighter reach $12 before 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Lighter LIT/USDC trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
read Sep 30, 11:51 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027?	Polymarket	60% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Lighter reach $20 before 2027?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?	Polymarket	56% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Lighter reach $15 before 2027?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	Polymarket	83% No	$872.3	—	—	Open
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	Polymarket	84% No	$341.3	—	—	Open
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	Polymarket	51% Yes	$187.1	—	—	Open
Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?	Polymarket	56% Yes	$40.8	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 11 hours ago

Holders40

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 82% · best ask 89%

Top holders

Flat-Bell80738695972855022370853875555598332903391324287345312885170014313659002260598
amis104815558926160366039168109871583290760208594419806209793265002206844207135747
PeggyGou104815558926160366039168109871583290760208594419806209793265002206844207135747
tdphucvn80738695972855022370853875555598332903391324287345312885170014313659002260598
BetterHold104815558926160366039168109871583290760208594419806209793265002206844207135747

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Recent trades

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Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 30, 01:14 PM UTC