PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?

No82%

Yes18%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:58 PM UTC

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24h volume$628.6

7d volume$3.7K

30d volume$13.9K

Liquidity$14.9K

Spread3%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) between December 30, 2025, 14:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Lighter LIT/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are identical in all material respects. Polymarket specifies a resolution timestamp of 2027-01-01 05:00 UTC, while PredictFun does not publish a separate resolution time; this does not change the underlying question.

PredictFunOpen →
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) between December 30, 2025, 14:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Lighter LIT/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
read Sep 29, 09:22 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) between December 30, 2025, 14:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Lighter LIT/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
386 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 22, 05:24 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Lighter reach $20 before 2027?	Polymarket	97% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?	Polymarket	57% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Lighter reach $15 before 2027?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Lighter reach $12 before 2027?	Polymarket	86% No	$277.3	—	—	Open
Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?	Polymarket	65% Yes	$254.2	—	—	Open
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	Polymarket	63% No	$83.3	—	—	Open
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	Polymarket	66% Yes	$5	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 8 days ago

Holders386

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 77% · best ask 82%

Top holders

keysersoze2295984659016624303484491348405631623455930641090121680361058783355658375048671
Michel de Nostredame108486514414842703538374367881053903639293890281148646707209852592689342522430
btcisking108486514414842703538374367881053903639293890281148646707209852592689342522430
Cryptohunter95984659016624303484491348405631623455930641090121680361058783355658375048671
PeggyGou108486514414842703538374367881053903639293890281148646707209852592689342522430

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

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BUY24%$1.28 days ago
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As of Sep 29, 10:22 PM UTC