PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Cabo Daciolo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Oct 1, 02:56 PM UTC

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24h volume$27.4

7d volume$70

30d volume$1.5K

Liquidity$8.7K

Spread0%

ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Kalshi lists an earlier nominal resolution time and may resolve early via designated media consensus, while Polymarket specifies a later fallback deadline and prioritizes credible reporting or official TSE results if ambiguous.

KalshiOpen →
Amazonas Governor winner?: Will Cabo Daciolo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?
If Cabo Daciolo wins the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
read Sep 30, 10:39 AM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Cabo Daciolo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
34 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 28, 10:04 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Gilberto Vasconcelos win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Isael Munduruku win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	68% Yes	$753.1	—	—	Open
Will Roberto Cidade win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	96% No	$571.7	—	—	Open
Will David Almeida win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	99% No	$529.7	—	—	Open
Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Polymarket	74% No	$50.3	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

Holders34

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966112753405247133182040625564773071712449044315088211647608949555386218447507777
balthazar77869619173342697409882162987910458264803462678805827217582290703777072901011
macrosteaks77869619173342697409882162987910458264803462678805827217582290703777072901011
Spectrum77869619173342697409882162987910458264803462678805827217582290703777072901011
Deafening-Possible77869619173342697409882162987910458264803462678805827217582290703777072901011

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Recent trades

SELL0%$06 days ago
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BUY100%$0.710 days ago
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BUY100%$5.212 days ago
BUY100%$1812 days ago

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As of Oct 1, 03:34 PM UTC