PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 30, 03:46 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$117.2K

Spread0%

ResolvesOct 1, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. Both use a consensus of credible reporting and specify market close on September 30, 2026. PredictFun lists no resolution timestamp, while Polymarket lists October 1, 2026 at 03:59 UTC; this does not change the question.

PredictFunOpen →
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
read Sep 30, 12:11 AM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
152 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 25, 10:06 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% Yes	$15.6K	—	—	Open
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$12.9K	—	—	Open
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$225.1	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 4 days ago

Holders152

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid — · best ask 0%

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296699276453848218716515998388299032208957190408532297896961296316768299539760738
MarketCat8214639693014961286401298133731769605552204596126144564002684115526967408025
AnimalEater8214639693014961286401298133731769605552204596126144564002684115526967408025
kneelbeforetheking8214639693014961286401298133731769605552204596126144564002684115526967408025
e46m38214639693014961286401298133731769605552204596126144564002684115526967408025

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL100%$606 days ago
SELL100%$1014 days ago
BUY0%$016 days ago
BUY0%$016 days ago
BUY0%$0.116 days ago
BUY0%$0.116 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 30, 03:50 AM UTC