PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 30, 12:24 AM UTC

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24h volume$225.1

7d volume$19.1K

30d volume$189.7K

Liquidity$75.8K

Spread0%

ResolvesOct 1, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical; Polymarket lists a resolution time, while PredictFun does not. Both specify consensus of credible reporting as the resolution source.

Polymarketthis market
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
523 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 23, 09:59 PM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
read Sep 30, 12:17 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% Yes	$15.6K	—	—	Open
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$12.9K	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 6 days ago

Holders523

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid — · best ask 0%

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966113164164340502127937416468550137670544533699388195698276357721539667854068263
Past-Power11286203532633435050461029087857565736892531921887062202100644346193481478173
Wojtek11286203532633435050461029087857565736892531921887062202100644346193481478173
fiter11286203532633435050461029087857565736892531921887062202100644346193481478173
TomFung11286203532633435050461029087857565736892531921887062202100644346193481478173

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY100%$2.56 days ago
BUY0%$16 days ago
BUY100%$22.46 days ago
SELL100%$94.66 days ago
SELL100%$88.66 days ago
SELL0%$0.16 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 30, 12:50 AM UTC