PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Yes100%

No0%

Price checked at Sep 29, 07:49 PM UTC

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24h volume$10.2K

7d volume$80.4K

30d volume$466.7K

Liquidity$12.3K

Spread0%

ResolvesOct 1, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The venues publish materially identical resolution criteria; Polymarket lists a settlement time after the September 30 market close, while PredictFun does not specify a resolution timestamp.

PredictFunOpen →
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
read Sep 29, 06:30 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
1.3K holders · 0 comments · read Sep 24, 11:07 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$13.1K	—	—	Open
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$225.1	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 5 days ago

Holders1.3K

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 98% · best ask 99%

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296683306872676670487141923955076719880547615731904984802456074320945166801132851
Popopolly23705583736348706533988510839759433821053113814025766422082583385077433681175
JJo83306872676670487141923955076719880547615731904984802456074320945166801132851
Hauchn23705583736348706533988510839759433821053113814025766422082583385077433681175
justme00323705583736348706533988510839759433821053113814025766422082583385077433681175

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Recent trades

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Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 29, 08:32 PM UTC