PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

No100%

Yes0%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:31 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$145.6K

Spread0%

ResolvesOct 1, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question →

Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical; Polymarket lists a resolution time of October 1, 2026, while PredictFun does not publish one. Both specify consensus of credible reporting as the source.

Polymarketthis market
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
154 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 24, 08:48 PM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
read Sep 29, 06:33 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$13.1K	—	—	Open
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% Yes	$10.2K	—	—	Open
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$225.1	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 5 days ago

Holders154

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Best bid 100% · best ask —

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966110143255178473559587877035926400075203636386298549311580357227219314678864583
MarketCat54098651397109350650760719724331373543842363185848354169251962637816684316836
033033033110143255178473559587877035926400075203636386298549311580357227219314678864583
e46m354098651397109350650760719724331373543842363185848354169251962637816684316836
kneelbeforetheking54098651397109350650760719724331373543842363185848354169251962637816684316836

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY0%$015 days ago
BUY0%$016 days ago
BUY0%$0.116 days ago
BUY0%$0.116 days ago
BUY0%$0.116 days ago
BUY0%$0.116 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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As of Sep 29, 10:15 PM UTC