PolymarketOpen

Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?

No85%

Yes15%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:23 PM UTC

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24h volume$11

7d volume$80.2

30d volume$3.4K

Liquidity$11.3K

Spread3%

ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Polymarket	78% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ivonne de Baki be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Olara Otunnu be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Polymarket	93% No	$100	—	—	Open
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Polymarket	52% Yes	$12.9	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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Comments2

Discussion on Predxy

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2 comments

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58JamesArg · last month
Add the other candidates: Rodrigues-Birkett, A-Baki, Ottunu, Maria Fernandes
ImNotBetting · 5 months ago
This market already existed...

As of Sep 29, 08:29 PM UTC