Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | Polymarket | 88% No | Open |
| Will Ivonne de Baki be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Olara Otunnu be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | Polymarket | 73% Yes | Open |
| Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 24 hours agoBest bid 95% · best ask 97%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b129662998245909046783642533716670181036719425089316662377970405334900963401895343
- teilativi78809341117744705794822070083086255357660246262217942431015694297821897615018
- archaic2998245909046783642533716670181036719425089316662377970405334900963401895343
- tuneshi78809341117744705794822070083086255357660246262217942431015694297821897615018
- Dr.PNL78809341117744705794822070083086255357660246262217942431015694297821897615018
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY97%$15.22 days ago
- BUY92%$414.12 days ago
- BUY92%$44.54 days ago
- SELL92%$3.86 days ago
- BUY96%$26 days ago
- SELL95%$94.96 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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2 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- 58JamesArg · last month
Add the other candidates: Rodrigues-Birkett, A-Baki, Ottunu, Maria Fernandes
- ImNotBetting · 5 months ago
This market already existed...
As of Sep 29, 11:49 PM UTC