Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue 7 days agoBest bid 5% · best ask 7%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296653384225333392383902803409866800818816024950359405346713806516543997495180325
- ndwoidnwqiosadmo021338753905059001915768997367469589111334649639704457897535405621683687306202320
- TimeTraveler38753905059001915768997367469589111334649639704457897535405621683687306202320
- purplegatto38753905059001915768997367469589111334649639704457897535405621683687306202320
- mooseborzoi38753905059001915768997367469589111334649639704457897535405621683687306202320
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY94%$949 days ago
- BUY94%$949 days ago
- BUY94%$28.29 days ago
- BUY7%$8.19 days ago
- BUY6%$7.79 days ago
- BUY5%$5.19 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
11 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- 111rem · 3 days ago
A healthy goalkeeper could be the difference
- downtownvill · 12 days ago
MLS playoffs could reward the fresher squad
- .ybryven · 14 days ago
i wrote "sybilhunt" and got free tokens
- .kalvaxio · 14 days ago
wrote "find sybils earn bounties" and anyone else it drop landing perfectly
- .ybryven · 14 days ago
wrote "find sybils earn bounties" and is the drop that gives and asks nothing
- .kalvaxio · 14 days ago
i wrote "sybilhunt" and got a small real token drop
- trafefair · 4 months ago
Widget shows 740 pusd active pending review [link removed]
- Worn-Smile · 5 months ago
Rest advantage matters more than people think here
- DomnPlister · 6 months ago
San Diego lack depth and experience compared to the powerhouse, they just cant handle pressure
- MintBoy · 6 months ago
market overreacting a bit here
- TravisAstroBoy · 6 months ago
Timbers lack depth, their rivals dominate every metric
As of Sep 29, 08:29 PM UTC