Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The same question elsewhere
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Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?
### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period**: From the publication date through December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the final games of the tournament are completed. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Resolves to “**Yes**” for the winning team of the 2026 MLS Cup. - Resolves to “**No**” for all other teams. ### **Resolution Details:** - This market will only be resolved through official results posted from the event organizer. - In case the resolution source fails to upload, a consensus of credible reporting can be used to resolve. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively. - The 2026 MLS Cup is cancelled or postponed outside of the Market Period. In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.
read Sep 29, 09:00 PM UTC
- Polymarketthis market
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
135 holders · 12 comments · read Sep 29, 12:35 AM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue 21 hours agoBest bid 97% · best ask 98%
Top holders
- saintaphextwin81119773052891775821920721095385802155330895016204596516121823281272853716086
- mooseborzoi53994188756838304898057895570089385957560965446003235191270269241092098432636
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296653994188756838304898057895570089385957560965446003235191270269241092098432636
- TimeTraveler81119773052891775821920721095385802155330895016204596516121823281272853716086
- ChuDebbieSharp81119773052891775821920721095385802155330895016204596516121823281272853716086
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL3%$0.1yesterday
- BUY3%$7.6yesterday
- BUY2%$12.3yesterday
- BUY2%$62 days ago
- BUY2%$16.83 days ago
- BUY98%$73 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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Nobody has said anything here yet.
11 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- 111rem · 3 days ago
A healthy goalkeeper could be the difference
- downtownvill · 12 days ago
MLS playoffs could reward the fresher squad
- .ybryven · 14 days ago
i wrote "sybilhunt" and got free tokens
- .kalvaxio · 14 days ago
wrote "find sybils earn bounties" and anyone else it drop landing perfectly
- .ybryven · 14 days ago
wrote "find sybils earn bounties" and is the drop that gives and asks nothing
- .kalvaxio · 14 days ago
i wrote "sybilhunt" and got a small real token drop
- trafefair · 4 months ago
Widget shows 740 pusd active pending review [link removed]
- Worn-Smile · 5 months ago
Rest advantage matters more than people think here
- DomnPlister · 6 months ago
San Diego lack depth and experience compared to the powerhouse, they just cant handle pressure
- MintBoy · 6 months ago
market overreacting a bit here
- TravisAstroBoy · 6 months ago
Timbers lack depth, their rivals dominate every metric
As of Sep 29, 09:34 PM UTC