Who will Trump pardon before 2027: Himself

No97%
Yes4%

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ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

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  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

  • Limitlessthis market

    Who will Trump pardon before 2027: Himself

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    0 holders · read Sep 29, 08:38 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Who will Trump pardon before 2027: Daniel PennyLimitless99% NoOpen
Who will Trump pardon before 2027: Matt GaetzLimitless88% NoOpen
Who will Trump pardon before 2027: Donald BrodieLimitless78% NoOpen
Who will Trump pardon before 2027: Ryan SalameLimitless87% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Best bid 1% · best ask 6%

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As of Sep 29, 10:28 PM UTC