Who will Trump pardon before 2027: Donald Brodie

No78%
Yes22%

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ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 22Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

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  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    27 holders · 19 comments · read Sep 26, 11:04 PM UTC

  • Limitlessthis market

    Who will Trump pardon before 2027: Donald Brodie

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    0 holders · read Sep 29, 06:23 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Who will Trump pardon before 2027: Daniel PennyLimitless99% NoOpen
Who will Trump pardon before 2027: Matt GaetzLimitless89% NoOpen
Who will Trump pardon before 2027: Ryan SalameLimitless87% NoOpen
Who will Trump pardon before 2027: HimselfLimitless97% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Best bid 20% · best ask 25%

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As of Sep 29, 08:30 PM UTC