Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No100%
Yes0%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$6.9
7d volume$515.5
30d volume$4.8K
Liquidity$1.2M
Spread0%
ResolvesNov 8, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 22Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The venues publish different resolution times (Polymarket: 2028-11-08 04:59 UTC; Kalshi: 2028-11-07 15:00 UTC). Polymarket specifies consensus of official Republican Party sources and a rule for replacement before election day, while Kalshi publishes only the winning-and-accepting condition.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

    392 holders · 441 comments · read Sep 22, 08:07 PM UTC

  • KalshiOpen →

    2028 Republican presidential nominee: Will Greg Abbott be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

    If Greg Abbott wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    read Sep 29, 07:16 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket51% YesOpen
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket85% NoOpen
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket100% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders392
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments442

Best bid 100% · best ask 100%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966105260987547015135110430961088356552513173217328170504644895138366924523280544
  • expectingmore51109358167525503124101840618196204295486048568333812245607026343682053354150
  • 1112251109358167525503124101840618196204295486048568333812245607026343682053354150
  • Brokie51109358167525503124101840618196204295486048568333812245607026343682053354150
  • laganza51109358167525503124101840618196204295486048568333812245607026343682053354150

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY100%$1.17 days ago
  • SELL100%$17 days ago
  • BUY100%$17 days ago
  • BUY100%$6.37 days ago
  • SELL100%$0.28 days ago
  • SELL100%$1.88 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

442 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • oilboil · 7 days ago

    A Republican primary rewards actual delegates

  • Ray.Robinson · 12 days ago

    didn't understand implied probability until i started using prеdiсuе. now i get it

  • cleanprint · 13 days ago

    everyone called this a coronation and the board's pricing a brawl, vance 51 and kennedy 49, the fight was priced on polybro before the pundits saw it

  • vigfood404 · 13 days ago

    and what you will say if they lose?

  • Unfit-Sunset · 13 days ago

    sitting vice presidents don't lose primaries in the modern era, but this board's pricing a fight, vance 51 and kennedy 49 on polybro dial is not a coronation, the heir's going to have to earn it

  • OnGodNoCap · 19 days ago

    gas prices keep going up because of iran, he’d get schlacked

  • kjhdfhj77hfe6TT · 19 days ago

    Vance looks plausible, not inevitable

  • gfhtyuseg · 21 days ago

    J. D. Vance really good for this job

  • vigfood404 · 29 days ago

    youre good!

  • nimatinos299992 · last month

    not only his. think so man!

  • jimceryt999 · last month

    fake code

  • OnGodNoCap · last month

    lol naw

  • OnGodNoCap · last month

    facts

  • TheBigMuscle · 2 months ago

    Kemp won the last governor election in Georgia by 8%, yet he declined to run for senate there this year. It's pretty clear he wants to run for president in 2028. He has the best chance if the Trump brand becomes unpopular or if trump dies.

  • bananajamsamin · 2 months ago

    if it will be not official?

  • vigfood404 · 2 months ago

    i know better guy here!

  • bananavomBa717 · 2 months ago

    i know rubio can win if he will do great things

  • zelemantata8 · 2 months ago

    husk

  • rillsoapsters · 2 months ago

    no no!!!

  • Ozir · 2 months ago

    It's rubio

As of Sep 29, 07:22 PM UTC