Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 31, 2026?

24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 7 days
First seenOct 3, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 3Oct 8Oct 14Oct 19Oct 24Down 24 points on Oct 14
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket89¢112$112+$12.36 1.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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  1. 1NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    2%Yes31 pts
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
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  3. 3NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
    8%Yes17 pts
  4. 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    18%Yes17 pts
  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
    86%Yes4 pts

As of Oct 24, 05:09 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.