Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?

24h volume$212
Total volume$256
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 26, 2026tomorrow
First seenOct 3, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 3Oct 8Oct 14Oct 19Oct 24Down 19 points on Oct 14Up 20 points on Oct 22Down 10 points on Oct 23
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket60¢167$167+$66.67 1.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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  4. 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
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  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
    86%Yes4 pts

As of Oct 24, 05:09 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.