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WorldRussiaUkraineRussiaUkraine

Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?

100%Yes
0 ptsover 24h

The field · 9 outcomes

  1. October 2770%0
  2. October 2870%0
  3. October 2970%0
  4. October 3170%0
  5. October 3070%0
  6. October 2669%20
  7. October 2467%12
  8. October 2564%12
  9. October 2118%18
24h volume$5.7K
Total volume$34.7K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 21, 20263 days ago
First seenOct 3, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 3Oct 7Oct 12Oct 16Oct 20Down 13 points on Oct 12Down 17 points on Oct 14Down 20 points on Oct 20
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in World

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  1. 1NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    2%Yes18 pts
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
    79%Yes1 pts
  3. 3NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
    7%Yes16 pts
  4. 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    19%Yes15 pts
  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
    87%Yes4 pts

As of Oct 24, 12:08 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.