Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?

24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesNov 11, 2026in 18 days
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Down 13 points on Oct 5Up 12 points on Oct 9Up 12 points on Oct 10Down 25 points on Oct 11Down 17 points on Oct 16
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket2.3¢4,348$4,348+$4,248 43.5×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 24, 02:53 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.