Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?

24h volume$160
Total volume$11.7K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 11, 2026in 17 days
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 19Oct 25Up 11 points on Oct 1Up 11 points on Oct 5Down 10 points on Oct 11Down 12 points on Oct 13Down 45 points on Oct 16
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket98.2¢102$102+$1.83 1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 04:45 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.