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Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.6 on Oct 13, 2026? 8.6%

Result

Settled on Oct 14, 2026. Markets gave it 17% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

1%8.6%

0 ptsover 24h

24h volume$2.3K

Total volume$3.3K

Liquidity—

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesOct 13, 202620 days ago

First seenOct 12, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.6 on Oct 13, 2026? 8.6%
99% No$2.3K 24h volume
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Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.6 on Oct 13, 2026? 8.6%

Probability history

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

Where this question trades

More in Politics