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Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.4 on Oct 25, 2026? 8.4%

Result

Settled on Oct 26, 2026. Markets gave it 44% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

99%8.4%

0 ptsover 24h

24h volume$8.1K

Total volume$8.2K

Liquidity—

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesOct 25, 20267 days ago

First seenOct 24, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.4 on Oct 25, 2026? 8.4%
99% 8.4%$8.1K 24h volume
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Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.4 on Oct 25, 2026? 8.4%

Probability history

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

Where this question trades

More in Politics