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Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.2 on Oct 15, 2026? 8.2%

Result

Settled on Oct 16, 2026. Markets gave it 22% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

1%8.2%

0 ptsover 24h

24h volume$241

Total volume$1.3K

Liquidity—

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesOct 15, 202618 days ago

First seenOct 14, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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1 venue

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Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.2 on Oct 15, 2026? 8.2%
99% No$241 24h volume
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Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.2 on Oct 15, 2026? 8.2%

Probability history

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

Where this question trades

More in Politics