Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?

24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 8 months
First seenSep 28, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28Oct 5Oct 12Oct 18Oct 25Up 45 points on Sep 29Down 28 points on Sep 30Down 24 points on Oct 3Up 23 points on Oct 4Down 29 points on Oct 9
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket49¢204$204+$104 2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 11:05 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.