Will the S&P 500 be above 7580.04 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?

8%Above 7580.04

51 ptsover 24h

24h volume$12.3K

Total volume$13.5K

Liquidity$11

Open interest$7.9K

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 1 hour

First seenOct 31, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	8¢*	1,250	$1,250	+$1,150 12.5×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will the S&P 500 be above 7580.04 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?
92% No$12.3K 24h volume
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Will the S&P 500 be above 7580.04 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Probability history

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Where this question trades

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

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