Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
24h volume$5.2K
Total volume$229.9K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
Resolves—
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Best payout | 1.1¢ | 9,091 | $9,091 | +$8,991 90.9× |
| 3¢ | 3,333 | $3,333 | +$3,233 33.3× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?98% Nono volume publishedResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?99% No$5.2K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 25, 01:51 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.