Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
24h volume$1.9K
Total volume$363.9K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
Resolves—
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
No recorded data before Sep 5 in this window.
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Best payout | 41¢ | 244 | $244 | +$144 2.4× |
| 42¢ | 238 | $238 | +$138 2.4× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?60% No$1.9K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
- Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?51% Nono volume publishedResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 25, 06:50 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.