Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?
20%Yes
2 ptsover 24hOne venue carries this question.
24h volume$666.3
Total volume$25.7K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesApr 1, 2027in 6 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- PolymarketWill the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?81% No$666.3 24h volumeResolution rules →Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
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As of Oct 2, 11:03 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.