Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?

55%Yes
1 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

  1. 1500+93%1
  2. 1510+79%4
  3. 1520+ · this question55%1
  4. 1530+36%2
  5. 1540+16%3
24h volume$103
Total volume$11.2K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 8 months
First seenSep 29, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Up 13 points on Sep 30Down 32 points on Oct 1Up 10 points on Oct 2Up 10 points on Oct 17Down 10 points on Oct 18
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket56¢179$179+$78.57 1.8×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: November 30, 2026
    71%Yes11 pts
  2. 2Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 2026
    85%Yes1 pts
  3. 3Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic
    85%Yes1 pts
  4. 4Will Anthropic list by 1 January 2027 00:00 UTC with a first-day market cap above $2.5T?
    7%Yes0 pts
  5. 5Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: June 30, 2027
    92%Yes0 pts

As of Oct 24, 08:56 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.