Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
28%Yes
4 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 2 of 2 venues
The field · 2 outcomes
24h volume$29.1K
Total volume$353.1K
Markets22 venues, 2 priced
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 11 days
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Best payout | 27.9¢ | 358 | $358 | +$258 3.6× |
 | 28¢ | 357 | $357 | +$257 3.6× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Texas Governor Winner: Democrats72% No$1.6K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
- Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?73% No$27.5K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
More in Politics
- 1U.S House Midterm Winner: Democratic Party91%Yes0 pts
- 2Texas Senate Election Winner: Ken Paxton (R)37%Yes3 pts
- 3Texas Senate winner?: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? Ken Paxton36%Ken Paxton3 pts
- 42026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House8%Yes0 pts
- 5Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)65%Yes3 pts
As of Oct 23, 11:12 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.