Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?

5%Yes

3 ptsover 24h

The field · 18 outcomes

24h volume$300

Total volume$3.1K

Liquidity$427

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesMar 15, 2027in 4 months

First seenOct 14, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	5.9¢	1,695	$1,695	+$1,595 16.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
95% No$300 24h volume
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As of Nov 1, 12:58 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.