Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2027? Before Nov 1, 2027
42%Before Nov 1, 2027
0 ptsover 24h
The field · 17 outcomes
24h volume$22
Total volume$74.3K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenOct 9, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 42¢ | 238 | $238 | +$138 2.4× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2027? Before Nov 1, 202758% No$22 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
More in World
- 1NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?2%Yes18 pts
- 2US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?79%Yes1 pts
- 3NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?7%Yes16 pts
- 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?19%Yes15 pts
- 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?87%Yes4 pts
As of Oct 24, 12:18 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.