Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?

24h volume$138
Total volume$1.9K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1Oct 7Oct 13Oct 18Oct 24Up 29 points on Oct 3Down 43 points on Oct 7Down 17 points on Oct 16Up 14 points on Oct 18Down 16 points on Oct 22
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket42¢238$238+$138 2.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 12:45 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.