Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in October?
7%Yes
4 ptsover 24h
The field · 6 outcomes
24h volume$50
Total volume$1.2K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 8 days
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12¢ | 833 | $833 | +$733 8.3× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in October?93% No$50 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
More in Economy
- 1Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?95%Yes2 pts
- 2Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?6%Yes2 pts
- 3Fed decision in Oct 2026?: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? Fed maintains rate93%Fed maintains rate1 pts
- 4Fed Decision in October — No change93%Yes1 pts
- 5Will the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee leave unchanged The upper bound target range of the federal funds rate at its October 2026 decision?94%Yes2 pts
As of Oct 24, 01:53 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.