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EconomyJapanJapan

Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?

55%Yes
11 ptsover 24h

The field · 7 outcomes

  1. 3.0%+ · this question55%11
  2. 2.6-2.8%19%0
  3. 2.8-3.0%15%3
  4. 2.2-2.4%8%7
  5. 2.4-2.6%4%0
  6. <2.0%2%0
  7. 2.0-2.2%2%0
24h volume$30
Total volume$22K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesFeb 1, 2027in 3 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 15Sep 28Oct 11Oct 25Down 13 points on Sep 23Down 10 points on Oct 4Up 10 points on Oct 6Up 10 points on Oct 9
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket56.9¢176$176+$75.75 1.8×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 25, 04:47 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.