Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?: Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kendrick Jarrell Beaird in Beaird v. United States Before Aug 1, 2028

43%Before Aug 1, 2028

0 ptsover 24h

24h volume$0

Total volume$3.2K

Liquidity—

Open interest$924

Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesAug 1, 2028in 2 years

First seenSep 7, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	41¢	244	$244	+$144 2.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?: Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kendrick Jarrell Beaird in Beaird v. United States Before Aug 1, 2028
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Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?: Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kendrick Jarrell Beaird in Beaird v. United States Before Aug 1, 2028

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics