Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October?

24h volume$998
Total volume$14.7K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 7 days
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1Oct 7Oct 12Oct 18Oct 23Down 21 points on Oct 2Down 38 points on Oct 14Down 32 points on Oct 16Up 27 points on Oct 19Down 32 points on Oct 22
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 05:08 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.