Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?

4%Yes

2 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 3 venues

The field · 7 outcomes

24h volume$60

Total volume$5.2K

Markets33 venues, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 7 days

First seenSep 25, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
Best payout	6.9¢	1,449	$1,449	+$1,349 14.5×
	9¢	1,111	$1,111	+$1,011 11.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

3 venues

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?
96% No$60 24h volume
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?
no volume published
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?
96% No$0 24h volume
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

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Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?

Probability history

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