Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?

4%Yes
2 ptsover 24hPlain mean across 0 of 3 venues

The field · 7 outcomes

  1. ↑ $77051%11
  2. ↑ $78018%7
  3. ↑ $800 · this question4%2
  4. ↓ $7004%2
  5. ↑ $8103%0
  6. ↑ $8403%0
  7. ↑ $8302%0
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets33 venues, 0 priced
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 7 days
First seenSep 25, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1Oct 7Oct 13Oct 18Oct 24Up 11 points on Oct 5Down 10 points on Oct 14Down 8 points on Oct 16
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Myriad. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Predict.funBest payout3.8¢*2,632$2,632+$2,532 26.3×
Polymarket6.4¢1,563$1,563+$1,463 15.6×
Myriad9¢1,111$1,111+$1,011 11.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 05:08 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.