Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?

17%Yes
0 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

  1. March 31, 2027 · this question17%0
  2. December 318%0
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesApr 1, 2027in 5 months
First seenOct 5, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 5Oct 10Oct 15Oct 19Oct 24Up 22 points on Oct 6Up 8 points on Oct 17
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket18¢556$556+$456 5.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
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As of Oct 24, 01:59 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.