Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?

8%Yes
0 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

  1. March 31, 202717%0
  2. December 31 · this question8%0
24h volume$686
Total volume$60.8K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenSep 2, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 15Sep 28Oct 11Oct 24

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket9¢1,111$1,111+$1,011 11.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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  4. 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
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  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
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As of Oct 24, 05:16 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.