Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

15%Yes

5 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues

ResolvesJan 1, 2027 · in 2 months

24h volume$1.6K7 trades on 1 of 2 venues

Total volume$110.2K

Liquidity$4.9KFrom 1 of 2 venues

Open interest—

Markets: 2 · 2 venues, 1 priced
First seen: Sep 2, 2026
Watching: 0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

2 venues

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
85% No$1.6K 24h volumeResolution rules
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Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by... — December 31, 2026
$0 24h volumeResolution rules
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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	17¢	588	$588	+$488 5.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

As of Nov 10, 09:09 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

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Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

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