Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

60%Yes
1 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues

The field · 2 outcomes

  1. December 31, 2027 · this question60%1
  2. December 31, 202616%0
24h volume$913
Total volume$380.3K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year
First seenSep 9, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 9Sep 20Oct 2Oct 13Oct 24Down 45 points on Sep 10Up 12 points on Sep 11Up 9 points on Oct 1Down 10 points on Oct 5Up 9 points on Oct 9
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Predict.funBest payout58.5¢*171$171+$70.94 1.7×
Polymarket60¢167$167+$66.67 1.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  1. 1Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: November 30, 2026
    60%Yes24 pts
  2. 2Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: December 31, 2026
    85%Yes1 pts
  3. 3Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic
    81%Yes4 pts
  4. 4Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: June 30, 2027
    92%Yes0 pts
  5. 5Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
    28%Yes1 pts

As of Oct 24, 01:05 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.