Will NYC have between 4.75 and 5.25 inches of precipitation in October?

24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesJan 8, 2027in 3 months
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Down 12 points on Oct 9Up 15 points on Oct 10
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket0.5¢20,000$20,000+$19,900 200×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 24, 07:28 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.