Will NYC have between 3 and 4.25 inches of precipitation in October?

24h volume$113
Total volume$10K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 8, 2027in 2 months
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 13Oct 19Oct 25Down 23 points on Oct 1Up 21 points on Oct 5Down 15 points on Oct 6Up 15 points on Oct 8Up 18 points on Oct 14
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket4¢2,500$2,500+$2,400 25×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

As of Oct 25, 03:53 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.